Widening
regional variation in the UK’s housing market became increasingly
noticeable during February, led by an improvement in London, while
large parts of the North, East and Midlands continued to experience
a more downbeat picture, says the latest RICS UK Housing Market
survey.
London was the only region to record
a positive reading for house prices last month, with 14 per cent
more chartered surveyors reporting prices rose rather than fell.
This is in direct contrast to the national picture where 26 per
cent more saw prices fall rather than rise.
However, although negative, the headline
net price balance has now improved for four months in succession
and stands at its best level since July last year. Significantly,
12 per cent of respondents, nationally, reported rising prices
in February compared with seven per cent in January; this is the
highest proportion since June last year.
Newly agreed sales – a good
indicator of market activity – were most positive in London,
the South West, Yorkshire and Humberside and Scotland. Elsewhere,
the East of England, East Midlands and Wales experienced particularly
negative readings, suggesting a more downbeat picture in those
regions. Surveyors continue to report a lack of buyer confidence
is affecting the market.
Overall demand for property remains
at historically low levels, with a net balance of -1 per cent
reporting falls in demand. Buyer interest continues to be affected
by high deposits required by lenders and fears over rising interest
rates.
Despite this, some areas of the UK
saw demand grow during February. In Scotland new buyer enquiries
rose sharply to +31 per cent, while London and the North East
also saw increases in demand (+29 per cent and +13 per cent respectively).
Across the UK, sales expectations
look slightly stronger for the next three months, with 12 per
cent more surveyors predicting rises not falls in activity; that
said, transaction levels are still unusually flat. However, highlighting
the wide regional variation, the West Midlands, North West and
Yorkshire and Humberside recorded negative forecasts for future
sales.
Nationally, price expectations remain
more downbeat, remaining in negative territory for the ninth consecutive
month, at -28 per cent. Only London surveyors predicted prices
would rise over the coming months.
"Despite the more positive picture
for some parts of the UK, the general mood is still a little flat.
Broad trends in the survey indicate an increasing variation in
the housing market across the UK with London and to a lesser extent
the South East operating in a very different orbit.
Rather ominously, we have probably yet to feel the full impact
of the public spending cuts which are likely to lead to further
divergence in the regional property market.”
Jeremy Leaf, RICS housing spokesperson
Source: RICS
UK Housing Market Survey February 2011 |