Demand for office property
saw the biggest increase in nine months signalling a recovery
in the sector and leaving stagnant retail and industrial markets
trailing says RICS.
Office
lease lengths, which have continued to fall since the dot
com crash of 2001, are no longer in decline. Inducements employed
by landlords to entice potential tenants, such as rent-free
periods and help with fit out costs, have levelled out.
Rents
in the sector are expected to increase, with confidence at
its highest in four years.
However,
in a beleaguered retail sector, inducements rose further after
a prolonged lull in consumer spending and lower tenant demand.
The run-up
to the Christmas period saw an upturn in consumer spending,
but this has had no significant impact on demand for retail
space. Enquiries have fallen at their sharpest rate in four
years over the last quarter.
Despite this, development
continues apace, with the biggest increase in three years
for office building project starts reported. Here, sharply
rising commercial property values have been encouraging developers
to take more risks.
Investors
are showing a continued willingness to buy new commercial
space, especially prime location, investment grade properties.
Good returns
are keeping investors interested. Overall, commercial property
capital values grew 12.2% last year and 11.6% in 2004, due
to rising foreign investor and pension fund demand.
Further
investment in the sector is expected in the run up to 6 April
when the rules change for including commercial property in
a Self Invested Personal Pensions (SIPPs). 2007 will see further
interest with the advent of UK Real Estate Investment Trusts
(REITS).
RICS
spokesman Ian McRae commented:
"Development activity is up across the country which
is unusual at such an early stage of a recovery in demand.
Banks are still willing to back commercial property development
despite the huge run-up in lending over the past decade, with
banking exposure in this area rising sharply compared to other
sectors of the economy.
‘Investors generally have a high level of confidence as the
downturn in rents and activity since the dot com highs has
been moderate compared to previous commercial property slumps.
So long as the economic climate remains benign, there is no
reason to expect a return to the boom and bust cycles of the
past."
Source : RICS
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