A
lack of property on the market has driven up house prices for
the fifteenth consecutive month, despite cooling demand, says
RICS UK Housing Market Survey published 19 February 2007.
House prices rose for
the fifteenth consecutive month in January but the pace of increase
eased back to June levels. 28% more Chartered Surveyors reported
a rise than a fall in house prices, down from 36.6% in December.
Although reduced the
pace of increases remains above the long run average of 21% as
tight supply conditions have helped the market shrug off interest
rate rises. The number of unsold properties on surveyors - books
declined to the lowest level since August 2004.
Demand cooled in January as new buyer enquiries were held back
by the recent interest rate rises though the fall has occurred
from a high base, and therefore fundamentally strong.
New buyer enquiries
are likely to weaken further in the coming months as the January
interest rate rise filters through to a further deterioration
in buyer affordability.
Completed property sales rose to 29.8 per surveyor (up from 27.3
in October) - the highest since May 2004 .
The ratio of completed
sales compared to the stock of available property rose to 46.2%
from 43.1%, almost ten percentage points higher than the survey's
long run average.
The strongest house price growth was once again in London and
the South of England fuelled by an ever booming financial services
sector.
In the North and the
Midlands, price rises have slowed markedly, while housing markets
in Scotland and Northern Ireland remain robust.
Surveyor confidence in price outlooks are still strong as tight
supply conditions continue to boost optimism.
RICS spokesman Jeremy Leaf said:
"Interest rate rises
are having the desired impact of stabilising the market . The
Bank of England's hawkish activity has deterred some buyers who
have started to hesitate before taking the property ladder plunge.
"However, a strong economy provides a platform for modest house
price rises particularly as would be buyers face an ever diminishing
choice of property on the market.
"Higher interest rates
will make life more difficult with arrears expected to rise, though
there few signs that the market will take a significant turn for
the worst ."
Source: RICS
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